Analyst Coverage/Estimates

Analyst Coverage/Estimates

Firm Analysts
Baird & Co.
Peter J. Arment
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Ronald J. Epstein
Canaccord Genuity
Kenneth G. Herbert
Cowen and Co., LLC
Cai von Rumohr
Credit Suisse
Robert Spingarn
Deutsche Bank
Goldman Sachs
Noah Poponak
J.P. Morgan Securities, LLC
Seth M. Seifman
Jeffries LLC
Sheila Kahyaoglu
RBC Capital Markets
Matthew W. McConnell
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Michael Ciarmoli
UBS Securities
Myles Walton
Vertical Research Partners
Robert A. Stallard
Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Samuel J. Pearlstein

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.62

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.52
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 0.17
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: -10.18
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 24.58
Yield (%): 0.70

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 3.00 3.50 2.70 2.85 9 -- 1 -7.74
Annual 3/1/19 2.50 2.95 2.05 2.50 12 -- 4 -6.34
Annual 3/1/18 2.46 2.70 2.30 2.48 10 -- 2 -1.05
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.97 1.18 0.78 0.97 11 -- 3 -1.50
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.53 0.62 0.23 0.59 7 -- 2 -13.86
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.56 0.61 0.49 0.56 6 -- 3 -8.96
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.63 0.70 0.58 0.62 6 -- 3 -13.83
Long Term Growth -12.76 -12.76 -12.76 -12.76 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 4.52 3.16 43.05
Annual 3/1/16 5.34 5.50 -2.96
Annual 3/1/15 5.73 5.70 0.56
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.76 0.65 16.77
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.52 0.48 9.21
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.24 0.85 -71.91
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.81 1.40 100.33

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 17.08
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 13.21 13.78 12.64 13.21 2 -- -- --
Annual 3/1/19 18.24 33.59 10.17 10.95 3 -- -- --
Annual 3/1/18 13.67 28.36 8.37 8.98 4 -- -- -10.22
Quarterly 3/1/18 9.48 9.48 9.48 9.48 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 19.46 19.46 19.46 19.46 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 20.13 20.13 20.13 20.13 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 20.87 20.87 20.87 20.87 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 17.08 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 19.06 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 43.33 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 15.07 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 17.24 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 17.19 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 17.08 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.71
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 4.50 4.76 4.24 4.50 2 -- -- --
Annual 3/1/19 0.97 1.25 0.82 0.85 3 -- -- --
Annual 3/1/18 -6.31 -5.68 -7.08 -6.16 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -2.06 -1.67 -2.45 -2.06 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 5.71 0.60 844.58
Annual 3/1/16 1.70 2.86 -40.33
Annual 3/1/15 9.16 7.48 22.54
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.04 -3.20 -163.75
Quarterly 9/1/17 -4.05 -1.48 -174.45
Quarterly 6/1/17 -2.01 -1.36 -47.76
Quarterly 3/1/17 9.20 1.21 657.41

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.16
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 0.11 0.16 -- 0.16 3 -- -- -12.38
Annual 3/1/19 0.13 0.16 -- 0.16 5 -- -- -4.13
Annual 3/1/18 0.13 0.16 -- 0.16 5 -- -- -4.13
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 0.16 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 0.16 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 0.16 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.04 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.04 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.04 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.04 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 323.19
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 264.74 295.14 200.20 275.25 6 -- 1 -7.75
Annual 3/1/19 251.31 270.09 226.75 251.50 6 -- 1 -4.14
Annual 3/1/18 219.85 221.70 218.00 219.85 2 -- -- -3.33
Quarterly 3/1/18 73.83 75.50 72.30 73.70 3 -- -- -3.10
Quarterly 6/1/18 57.90 57.90 57.90 57.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 55.80 55.80 55.80 55.80 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 60.30 60.30 60.30 60.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 323.19 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 463.95 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 224.25 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 61.96 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 50.62 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 36.77 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 150.81 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 500.13
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 389.42 457.00 306.40 375.70 5 -- 1 4.20
Annual 3/1/19 333.41 430.00 250.15 302.30 7 -- 2 -4.60
Annual 3/1/18 273.97 377.00 211.30 254.20 6 -- 2 -0.08
Quarterly 3/1/18 79.77 92.30 69.70 78.54 4 -- 2 -0.21
Quarterly 6/1/18 58.20 58.20 58.20 58.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 71.90 71.90 71.90 71.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 83.60 83.60 83.60 83.60 1 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 500.13 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 -167.12 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 382.57 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 60.25 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 52.71 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 28.07 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 192.68 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): -0.87
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 3.05 3.50 2.70 2.99 5 -- -- -3.58
Annual 3/1/19 2.40 2.80 2.03 2.49 7 -- 1 --
Annual 3/1/18 -8.65 -8.14 -9.52 -8.40 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -6.22 -5.70 -7.08 -5.85 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 1 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 -0.87 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 -21.21 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 4.68 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -2.29 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 -0.11 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 -0.04 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 -2.57 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,126.67
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 1,374.20 1,495.80 1,203.87 1,398.57 4 1 -- 1.66
Annual 3/1/19 1,354.49 1,589.80 677.00 1,471.92 6 1 -- 0.21
Annual 3/1/18 1,300.06 1,451.21 741.00 1,411.51 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,478.06 1,564.80 1,391.32 1,478.06 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,604.57 1,604.57 1,604.57 1,604.57 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,537.70 1,537.70 1,537.70 1,537.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,571.19 1,571.19 1,571.19 1,571.19 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 1,126.67 1,602.15 -29.68
Annual 3/1/16 1,396.34 1,424.25 -1.96
Annual 3/1/15 1,346.78 1,398.57 -3.70
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,310.22 1,575.50 -16.84
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,398.34 1,480.82 -5.57
Quarterly 6/1/17 1,244.07 1,224.12 1.63
Quarterly 3/1/17 1,126.67 1,581.02 -28.74

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 223.35
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 145.67 182.80 134.70 139.05 6 -- 1 -9.07
Annual 3/1/19 122.44 150.80 102.00 125.02 8 -- 1 -3.32
Annual 3/1/18 125.26 133.44 121.00 123.70 7 -- -- -0.57
Quarterly 3/1/18 53.49 58.37 48.60 53.50 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 34.11 34.11 34.11 34.11 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 27.60 27.60 27.60 27.60 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 37.66 37.66 37.66 37.66 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 223.35 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 263.28 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 292.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 37.73 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 25.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 11.66 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 152.82 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/19 284.10 284.10 284.10 284.10 1 -- -- --
Annual 3/1/18 215.30 262.70 167.90 215.30 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 77.70 77.70 77.70 77.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.08
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 20.92 24.17 14.60 24.00 3 -- -- -15.11
Annual 3/1/19 18.20 27.10 8.30 18.70 4 -- -- -5.86
Annual 3/1/18 0.07 20.70 -66.32 14.90 5 -- -- 5,063.80
Quarterly 3/1/18 -60.80 -60.80 -60.80 -60.80 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 25.08 -- --
Annual 3/1/16 17.12 -- --
Annual 3/1/15 13.22 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 16.73 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 3,532.80
FY0 End Date: 3/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 3,299.51 3,533.60 3,139.43 3,312.10 9 1 1 0.61
Annual 3/1/19 3,209.00 3,463.30 3,097.00 3,180.73 12 2 2 0.04
Annual 3/1/18 3,141.30 3,225.00 3,079.00 3,149.76 12 1 2 0.15
Quarterly 3/1/18 830.56 879.39 777.00 841.42 11 -- 2 -0.00
Quarterly 6/1/18 773.79 784.00 751.40 776.03 5 1 -- 0.81
Quarterly 9/1/18 754.90 782.00 739.21 749.20 4 1 -- 0.57
Quarterly 12/1/18 771.35 783.00 763.30 769.54 4 -- 1 -0.36

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 3/1/17 3,532.80 3,537.80 -0.14
Annual 3/1/16 3,886.07 3,866.84 0.50
Annual 3/1/15 3,888.72 3,846.21 1.11
Quarterly 12/1/17 775.25 771.16 0.53
Quarterly 9/1/17 745.16 787.74 -5.41
Quarterly 6/1/17 781.69 803.19 -2.68
Quarterly 3/1/17 919.91 924.83 -0.53

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Copyright Thomson Reuters Corporation

Triumph Group Inc is followed by the analysts listed above. Please note that any opinions, estimates or forecasts regarding Triumph Group Inc's performance made by these analysts are theirs alone and do not represent opinions, forecasts or predictions of Triumph Group Inc or its management. Triumph Group Inc does not by its reference above or distribution imply its endorsement of or concurrence with such information, conclusions or recommendations.